COUNTRY ATTRACTIVENESS REPORT (CAR)

COUNTRY ATTRACTIVENESS REPORT

Countries to evaluate: China and Vietnam – Banking systems.

 

This research paper will report on relative attractiveness for investment in China and Vietnam. It will specifically look at their Banking Systems.

 

Research paper MUST report on why Vietnamese Banking system may or may not be in trouble. It MUST discuss the fact that the government doesn’t really know how much bad debt is being held.

 

It must also report on why Chinese Banking system may or may not be in trouble. The fact that more and more credit is being extended through shadow banking channels must be discussed in the report as well.

 

Detailed Directive on what the research must have are bellow!! Please follow the directive exactly!!!!

 

The aim of this report is to determine the relative attractiveness of any two countries in Asia for investment in one of the following industries – (1) manufacturing, (2) Information technology, (3) services, (4) healthcare, and (5) consumer products. You will prepare a brief report on the relative attractiveness or lack of attractiveness of any two Asian countries from a particular industry point of view. For example, if you are interested in manufacturing industry, then you will explore the attractiveness or lack of attractiveness of either country X or country Y from the point of view of manufacturing industry only. For an effective CAR, following steps are useful.

 

 

  1. You should evaluate the relative attractiveness of your chosen countries from the point of view of your chosen industry. The preparation of the report will require limited outside research.
  2. Country attractiveness can be determined by evaluating three categories of variables — i.e., political variables, economic variables, socio-cultural variables (see below). Because your industry needs are different, you will not need to evaluate all the variables in these three categories (political, economic, socio-cultural). Pick and choose the variables which are absolutely relevant to your industry.  So, you must do a careful analysis of your INDUSTRY NEEDS.
  3. After choosing the relevant variables, please assign them what we will call in this course “Attractiveness Score.” See the table in the next page for an example of assigning and determining the Country Attractiveness score. You must explain your reasons for assigning a particular score to a particular variable.
  4. What is your recommendation? Which of the two countries is more attractive from your chosen industry point of view?
  5. Your report must be limited to TEN pages (double-spaced and word-processed). You must include a table in a separate page with your variables and scores. This table is not counted as a part of your Ten-page-limit.

 

  1. An Executive summary, stating the main findings and arguments of your research should be given at the beginning of your CAR.

 

  1. Endnotes/footnotes must be given, wherever necessary.

 

  1. Bibliography is required.

 

Country Attractiveness Score (1-10). A high score indicates high attractiveness and low score indicates low attractiveness.

 

Attractiveness Level

 

High = 8-10

Moderate = 5-7.9

Low = 3-4.9

 

Example of Country Attractiveness Score:

 

Political Variables Attractiveness Score
Bad neighbors – implies regional tensions, immediate threats to the nation or its people

 

4
Strength of government vs. interest groups 8
Corruption 2
Economic Variables
Capital flight – implies outflow of capital resources required for development

 

4
Falling GDP per person trend in (past five years) – implies declining growth or economic stagnation

 

3
Labor – skilled human capital 6
Socio-cultural variables
Urbanization pace 4
Religious and Ethnic Tensions 4
Population density 7
Cumulative Attractiveness Score (Total score divided by the total number of variables) 4.7

 

Economic Variables

 

  1. Falling GDP per person trend in (past five years) – implies declining growth or economic stagnation
  2. High inflation (trend in past five years) – implies erosion of buying power and standard of living
  3. Capital flight – implies outflow of capital resources required for development
  4. High and rising foreign debt – implies increased reliance on foreign assistance
  5. Restriction imposed on imports
  6. Raw materials as a percentage of exports – implies depletion of nonrenewable assets
  7. Restriction imposed on foreign investment in the country
  8. Restrictions imposed on the exchange of local money into foreign currencies
  9. Labor – skilled human capital; % of work force in agriculture
  10. Technological levels – implies a country’s foreign dependence and technology transfer issues

 

 

Political variables

 

  1. Bad neighbors – implies regional tensions, immediate threats to the nation or its people
  2. Labor relation
  3. Strength of government vs. interest groups – implies government’s ability to take bold decision ( in democracy, strength of government can be determined by legislative independence of the ruling party). Strong governments are associated with one party rule, centralization of decision-making authority and popular base of the Chief of Government. Weak governments are associated with division of power, intra-party struggle, lack of popular base of the leaders
  4. Generals in power—implies instability of civil authority and lack of legal institutions
  5. Judicial independence – implies the power of judiciary to enforce contracts/agreements
  6. War/armed insurrection – implies a risk of war, civil unrest or presence of internal tension
  7. Reliability of the country as a trading partner
  8. Corruption — implies uncontrolled corruption that distorts economic, political, and social stability
  9. Quality of bureaucracy
  10. International links
  11. Ideology – implies government’s ideological predilection toward the role of the state and the role of the private sector and property rights

Socio-cultural variables

 

  1. Urbanization pace – implies overly rapid, chaotic change with a danger of crime and loss of control
  2. Population density and wealth distribution – implies relative deprivation and popular resentment and social unrest
  3. Age structure
  4. Religious and Ethnic Tensions – Implies religious fundamentalism and social tensions that convolute society and polarize communities
  5. Mentality features xenophobia, nationalism – implies hostile or friendly attitude toward foreigners
  6. Entrepreneurship culture – Citizens of the country have favorable attitude toward risk-taking

 

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